FLOWCON 2025

From Wild Bets to Solid Forecasts: Mastering Predictability

Tired of unreliable forecasts and missed deadlines? This workshop will show how managing the age of your WIP can stabilize cycle times and improve delivery predictability. Together, we'll tackle common forecasting pitfalls and uncover actionable ways to make your work more predictable.

Sum up the session in only 1 sentence
In this workshop, we’ll explore how controlling the age of work in progress can help teams improve predictability, avoid delays, and make more reliable forecasts.

What are the 3 top takeaways from your session or workshop?
Key Takeaways from My Workshop: 1. Controlling the age of work in progress (WIP) is the simplest, most effective way to improve predictability. By keeping WIP age in check, teams can reduce cycle times and avoid delays. 2. Predictability starts with improving single-item forecasting. Instead of guessing delivery dates for large groups of work, focus on accurately forecasting one item at a time. 3. Stable cycle times make forecasting easier and more reliable — for both single items and larger projects. By managing WIP age and stabilizing cycle times, teams can confidently make both short-term and long-term delivery predictions.